Category Archives: Bird Flu

Bird Flu

Contents
Scientists have Mutated Bird Flu to create a Pandemic Virus
Three dead swans in Dorset had Bird Flu
Bird Flu is back
Flu bloggers validated
Compensation is only for the rich
A flock of geese
Futures market created for bird flu

Scientists have Mutated Bird Flu to create a Pandemic Virus

Scientists at the Erasmus Medical Centre in Rotterdam say they have been able to mutate the H5N1 virus so that it can be transmitted through the air.

Until now it was thought it could be transmitted between humans only via close physical contact.

“In a laboratory, it was possible to change the H5N1 into a virus… that can easily be spread through the air. This process could also happen naturally,”

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/terror-fear-scientists-create-killer-flu-114600583.html

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Three dead swans in Dorset had Bird Flu


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The Swannery at Abbotsbury, down on the South Dorset coast has been hit by the deadly H5N1 virus which causes Bird Flu, with three dead swans testing positive for the deadly disease.

Birds on the lake

This latest case is worrying because it suggests that infection may be originating in wild birds, whereas the outbreak at the Bernard Matthews turkey factory in Suffolk last year looked more like human error with contaminated trucks or feed.

Indeed, the only reason for not beginning a cull of wild birds in the area is given as “because such a move could disperse birds and spread the disease.” according to Guardian News this afternoon

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Bird Flu is back

Bird flu is back in the UK with 6,000 turkeys geese and ducks slaughtered at a factory farm near Diss in Norfolk, not that far away from the Bernard Matthews turkey farm in Suffolk which contracted bird flu earlier this year. Tests will reveal later today whether or not this is the same H5N1 strain which can be fatal to humans, although preliminary tests have already narrowed down to the H5 family.

As with last time, suspicion may initially fall on wild birds rather than on Bernard Matthews eastern European connections and poor biosecurity but the RSPB have explained that no wild birds have been found with avian flu anywhere in Europe since August this year and that the annual autumn migration of wild swans and geese is now almost over.

For the latest news keep an eye on Warmwell/h5n1

The actual farm this time is Redgrave Farm, which is run by Redgrave Poultry, part of the Gressingham foods group.

Update: See also January 2008 – Bird flu detected in three dead swans

Posted in Bird Flu |

Flu bloggers validated

Via Nancy White a report that seems to show how ‘flu bloggers’ are making a difference over in America:

Spare Change: HHS Flu Blog Success?
We’ve got a clear clarion call from the Secretary of HHS, to go forth into our communities and spread the pandemic awareness message. We’ve been validated, at least unofficially, as being partners in the national effort to prepare for a pandemic. And our voices, for the first time, have been heard on this issue.

In case you hadn’t gathered, the flu bloggers are on a mission. The general apathy about this burning issue is blamed on the Media, Government and public. The story, so it goes, just isn’t exciting enough at this stage:

It often moves at a glacier pace, much of the `action’ occurs in remote areas of the world where few reporters have access, and with the exception of a few dedicated flubies, most of the public simply doesn’t care about the latest genetic sequences or the seroprevalence studies on cats in Jakarta.

It’s a bit like 1999 when billions of people around the world failed to dig their own bunkers, stock up on cans of beans and guns to defend against looters in preparation for the inevitable barbarism that would follow Y2K. Outside of the United States we just don’t seem to have that ‘circle the wagons’ mentality.

Posted in Bird Flu, Blogs and community |

Compensation is only for the rich

On Thursday night the Government confirmed that Bernard Matthews will be paid almost £600,000 in compensation following the outbreak of bird flu at its Suffolk farm.

Norman Lamb, North Norfolk MP, said the real losers were the workers who were still to get their jobs back. He said: “Many people will struggle with the idea that the company gets compensation, although it is a small amount compared with the drop in sales. But for the workers, the people in the front line of this, not to get anything, is hard to justify.

Posted in Bird Flu, UK |

A flock of geese


Stephen Downes argues that the following statement is invalid:

“The flock of geese decided to land”

in Half an Hour: Geese

What in fact happened is that each individual goose decided to land. We observed this and interpreted it as the flock deciding to land.

photo under CC licence by glennharvey06

What a wonderfully clear example the flock of geese idea gives us to try and think about this clash of perspectives which has been rumbling along about individuals and groups, blog networks compared to listserves, the illusion of flat hierarchies, left right, north south, hive mind or cooercion and so on. It might just be me, but the geese question seems to point at something which may turn out to be a central and fundamental issue, like the difference between the naturalistic worldview and idealism.

So I will argue that the flock of geese did decide to land. {{ducks}}

Maybe one goose made the first move towards landing, or maybe the trajectory emerged from out of whatever was going on between the flock beforehand, but what happened next is a process which I would call ‘arriving at a group decision’. One or more individual geese began to move towards landing in such a way that the intention to land began to be communicated through the flock. Each individual goose then took a decision to follow the leaders, or ignore them. I’ve observed occasions when this results in a cleaving of the flock, with one part landing and another group splitting away to circle around and land in the next field, for example. Now, some individuals may be motivated by the desire to land, and others by a preference to stay with the group who are landing, that doesn’t matter. Nobody said it has to be one goose one vote in a secret ballot. The decision can be swayed by acts of leadership, by an averaging of cumulative actions, or by random events but a decision is what is arrived at by the flock in just the same way as the various parts of my own brain somehow come to a conclusion as to which shirt I will put on in the morning.

The reason why all of this is important, is because sometimes groups can do things which sums of individuals cannot, like negotiating decent pay and conditions through collective bargaining for example. In that case, the individuals within the syndicate need to be willing to subject themselves to a group discipline in order to take effect action without splitting. There has to be a mechanism to take a group decision which is binding on individuals in order for the individuals involved to benefit from collective action.

That’s why the emphasis on individual networks rather than groups disturbs me, it’s all too reminiscent of Mrs Thatchers’ “There is no such thing as society, there are individuals and there are families”. Networks seem to have the effect of exaggerating inequality as already stronger nodes attract new connections faster than weaker ones. Is that the effect we wish to take an active decision to cultivate or should we make positive choices to nurture alternative patterns with greater long term sustainability?

Well Stephen is a skillful and knowledgable philosopher so I expect he will tear my proposition apart if he ever reads it, but if anything remains it can only help to clarify somebody’s thinking, somewhere – like mine perhaps.

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Futures market created for bird flu

Predictive markets are a way of obtaining “wisdom of crowds” type knowledge, aggregating the opinions of multiple experts and concentrating the mind of each through requiring the backing of individual opinions with hard cash. As external conditions change, the proclivity of individuals to buy or sell can be averaged through a market to determine a price, which is claimed to be a remarkably accurate indicator of real probability.

Futures market created for bird flu

Organizers hope to recruit at least 100 epidemiologists, veterinarians and other medical experts from around the world for the two-year project. They will be asked to join an online trading system akin to agricultural futures markets, in which investor buys contracts that businesses will be able to deliver certain volumes of, say, corn or pork bellies.

But in this project, the contracts represent not the likelihood of a good corn harvest but the odds that deadly bird flu will infect a human in Hong Kong by July 1.

“Yes” contracts on that prediction are currently trading at 43 cents. That means the experts think there’s a 43 percent chance of that occurring.

Posted in Bird Flu |

Thanks for reading Andy Roberts articles about Bird Flu on the DARnet Blog