Now and again I wonder if all of this reflective and interactive writing that happens on the internet via groupware, via email, via blogs and so on, might have a very limited lifespan, and in fact may already have had its heydey. Text is easily the most efficient means of transmitting meaning in terms of cost per byte, and that was a significant factor in the early days of electronic communications. But as the costs get driven drastically downwards such that the internet is ‘always on’ and audio and video transmission happens in realtime with unmetered cost, will writing survive?
An excerpt from the following paper thinks not:
A democracy of groups
There is no doubt that soon technology for groups — or visual and social software — will become mainstream and part of the familiar fabric of cyberspace. That cyberspace will look more and more like a videogame and less like the text–based Web we know today.
When – ( if?) the internet turns into a videogame I suppose there will still exist pockets of writers and readers trying to carry on behind the scenes of the main action, but we will be marginalised as we grow older and reduce in numbers. The videogamers will inherit the infrastructure and the old channels will eventual go silent and get switched off forever like analogue TV.
Technorati Tags: speculation, distopia, readwrite, text

Andy Roberts is a writer who initiated DARnet. Contact me on aroberts@gmail.com or @aroberts on twitter
It seems to me that video is the dominant form for mass broadcasting and audio for individual communication whether face to face, by telephone or now Voice over IP. And the latest Apple iMac computers are being pictured in the ads with no visible keyboards.
My gut feeling is that writing will always be the dominant form, and that video and audio will always be less-used forms.
I can’t quite express why I feel that should be so though.
“… all of this reflective and interactive writing …” Now think about how easy it is to quote a piece of audio or video.
Let alone linking to it…